Jon Hunstman, thanks to his billionaire daddy, has moved from 8 to 12% in New Hampshire. Assuming he keeps moving upward, Huntsman could creep into a respectable 3rd place behind Romney and Gingrich in the 1.3 million person state.
But what about that ol' Iowa? Hunstman doesn't even register 1 percentage point there, which risks him being withheld from the upcoming Iowa debate. He's going all in in NH, which he hopes will carry over into South Carolina.
The problem with ignoring Iowa, if you ask Rudy Giuliani , is that it makes you dead on arrival in the next state. Giuliani spent ALL of his campaign money in Florida, and was polling well there up until the Iowa caucus. But his horrendous Iowa performance carried over into NH, which then completely marred his Florida primary and caused him to pull out just 24 hours after Florida.
Huntsman seems to think that by ignoring Iowa, he can gain the upper hand in NH. He recently boasted of hosting his 100th event of the year in NH. Is that even a good thing?
Politics is all about momentum. A presidential contender cannot be taken seriously if he or she registers less than 1% in the first voter tally. The poor momentum from Iowa will carry over and hurt Huntsman afterward. Would it kill the guy to at least make a speech there??
Wednesday, November 30, 2011
Cain Dead in the Water
The obvious, interesting thing about Cain's campaign reassessment is that it comes in the wake of an affair, and not after multiple sexual harassment murmurings. That Cain was able to weather sexual harassment claims but not reports of adultery says one of two things:
His wife of 43 years, Gloria Cain, probably had enough. I wouldn't be shocked if she gave him an ultimatum to either drop out and work on their marriage, or stay in the race and face divorce.
The other possibility is that donors probably dried up. After the sexual harassment charges, followed by the Libya fiasco, and an equally horrendous performance in the foreign policy debate, there was probably no money left in Cain 2012's Paypal account. Who in their right mind would donate to a dead in the water campaign?
Which leads to the next question. How the hell does Cain still have 15% of the vote? Who are these people. Sure, a month ago it was okay to vote for Cain. And yes, even with the tawdry charges brought against him, it was fair to look the other way. But when Cain seemed to have NO IDEA what was going on in Libya, and with ridiculously generic answers in the foreign policy debates, who could vote for this guy?
Additionally, his infamous 9-9-9 tax plan was said to have come from Sim City 2000. And now that I think about it, it rings true: Sim City always started the city off with 9% taxes across the board, which for the most part, generally worked well for my cities. Maybe Cain was on to something after all.
His wife of 43 years, Gloria Cain, probably had enough. I wouldn't be shocked if she gave him an ultimatum to either drop out and work on their marriage, or stay in the race and face divorce.
The other possibility is that donors probably dried up. After the sexual harassment charges, followed by the Libya fiasco, and an equally horrendous performance in the foreign policy debate, there was probably no money left in Cain 2012's Paypal account. Who in their right mind would donate to a dead in the water campaign?
Which leads to the next question. How the hell does Cain still have 15% of the vote? Who are these people. Sure, a month ago it was okay to vote for Cain. And yes, even with the tawdry charges brought against him, it was fair to look the other way. But when Cain seemed to have NO IDEA what was going on in Libya, and with ridiculously generic answers in the foreign policy debates, who could vote for this guy?
Additionally, his infamous 9-9-9 tax plan was said to have come from Sim City 2000. And now that I think about it, it rings true: Sim City always started the city off with 9% taxes across the board, which for the most part, generally worked well for my cities. Maybe Cain was on to something after all.
Tuesday, November 29, 2011
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