Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Oh Huntsman. Politics is About Momentum.

Jon Hunstman, thanks to his billionaire daddy, has moved from 8 to 12% in New Hampshire. Assuming he keeps moving upward, Huntsman could creep into a respectable 3rd place behind Romney and Gingrich in the 1.3 million person state.

But what about that ol' Iowa? Hunstman doesn't even register 1 percentage point there, which risks him being withheld from the upcoming Iowa debate. He's going all in in NH, which he hopes will carry over into South Carolina.

The problem with ignoring Iowa, if you ask Rudy Giuliani , is that it makes you dead on arrival in the next state. Giuliani spent ALL of his campaign money in Florida, and was polling well there up until the Iowa caucus. But his horrendous Iowa performance carried over into NH, which then completely marred his Florida primary and caused him to pull out just 24 hours after Florida.

Huntsman seems to think that by ignoring Iowa, he can gain the upper hand in NH. He recently boasted of hosting his 100th event of the year in NH. Is that even a good thing?

Politics is all about momentum. A presidential contender cannot be taken seriously if he or she registers less than 1% in the first voter tally. The poor momentum from Iowa will carry over and hurt Huntsman afterward. Would it kill the guy to at least make a speech there??

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